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Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

This year, the feeble Steelers pass defense has been torched for a colossal 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 7th-biggest rate in football.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 9th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Ravens offense has played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.46 seconds per snap.

The Ravens O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Derrick Henry's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 92.0% to 78.6%.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 18