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Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Derrick Henry's 77.9% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 91.9% rate.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 12