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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) last year.
  • Derrick Henry has been on the field for 58.1% of his offense's snaps last year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • The Bills safeties project as the worst collection of safeties in football last year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 53.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.
  • Last year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a puny 79.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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