My Account Log Out
 
 
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Henry has been on the field for 56.4% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Derrick Henry ranks in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs this year with an astounding 0.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • With a terrific 9.7 adjusted yards per target (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry ranks among the top pass-game running backs in the NFL.
  • Derrick Henry has been one of the best running backs in the league at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an excellent 10.05 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 91st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Derrick Henry's 5.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 12.0 figure.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 21.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. RBs since the start of last season, yielding 5.02 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™