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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • With an exceptional 58.1% snap rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates among the RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • Derrick Henry comes in as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging an exceptional 9.83 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
  • Derrick Henry rates as one of the best running backs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a terrific 10.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has totaled a paltry -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 25th percentile among running backs.

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