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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Derrick Henry has been on the field for 57.8% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • With a stellar 9.8 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry ranks among the best RBs in the pass game in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the shaky Browns defense has surrendered the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a whopping 8.11 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry ranks among the leading pass-catching RBs in the NFL in the open field.

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