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Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to start backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Packers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.

In regards to air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in the lofty 79th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a colossal 1.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 49.3% of their opportunities: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 121.1 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Ravens have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

Derrick Henry's 78.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 92.0% rate.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17