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Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Henry has notched a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

This year, the anemic Bengals defense has given up a colossal 44.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-most in football.

This year, the weak Bengals defense has yielded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing running backs: a whopping 7.92 yards.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.

The Baltimore offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Derrick Henry's 78.7% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a noteable regression in his receiving talent over last year's 91.8% mark.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15