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Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

Derrick Henry has posted a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.7%) vs. RBs this year (88.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Derrick Henry's 82.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 91.8% figure.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14