Derrick Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 3.2 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 10.8% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry's receiving effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 8.43 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.61 rate last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Derrick Henry's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 87.9% to 82.4%.

More Derrick Henry Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow