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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+103/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects Derrick Henry to notch 19.5 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has earned 64.3% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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