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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • In this contest, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.1 carries.
  • While Derrick Henry has received 60.3% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's running game in this week's game at 71.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Houston's DT corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 10th-best in football.

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