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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to accumulate 16.8 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 90th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 61.9% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.

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