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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Derrick Henry is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile among RBs with 21.8 carries.
  • Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 92nd percentile for carries since the start of last season, accounting for 62.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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