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Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.

In this game, Derrick Henry is expected by the projection model to slot into the 92nd percentile among running backs with 17.3 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 62.2% of the workload in his team's running game.

The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry CarriesPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 16