Derrick Henry Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In this week's contest, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile among running backs with 18.7 rush attempts.
Derrick Henry has earned 63.1% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

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