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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The model projects the Ravens to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.7% run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 carries.
  • Derrick Henry has garnered 64.2% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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