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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Derrick Henry to garner 16.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Among all running backs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 91st percentile for carries last year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • The Bills linebackers rank as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL last year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

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