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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Carries
Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 29, 2023 8:02 PM UTC
NFL Props Derrick Henry Carries

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -109.

Favors Over
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to accrue 18.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Favors Under
  • The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
  • After taking on 80.1% of his team's rush attempts last year, Derrick Henry has been less involved in the ground game this year, now taking on just 69.8%.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
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