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This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Patriots, who are a massive favorite by 13 points.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 53.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target% (2nd percentile) this year, D'Ernest Johnson has been among the pass-catching RBs with the least usage near the goal line in football.With a weak 70.9% Adjusted Catch% (23rd percentile) last year, D'Ernest Johnson ranks among the worst possession receivers in the league among running backs.
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