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D'Ernest Johnson

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 39.6% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • D'Ernest Johnson has played on 13.2% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 13th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
  • With a lousy record of 1.97 yards after contact (22nd percentile) this year, D'Ernest Johnson has been among the least effective running backs in the NFL.

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