D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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D'Ernest Johnson

NFL · Player Props

D'Ernest Johnson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM EST

Analysis

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The predictive model expects D'Ernest Johnson to be much more involved in his team's run game in this week's game (26.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.9% in games he has played).
When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Cleveland's collection of safeties has been lousy this year, grading out as the 10th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 36.6% run rate.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Jaguars profiles as the 3rd-worst in football last year.
With a terrible tally of 8.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (25th percentile) this year, D'Ernest Johnson stands as one of the bottom pure runners in football at the position.
D'Ernest Johnson profiles as one of the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.00 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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