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Derius Davis Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Derius Davis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2000/-3900).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3900.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.

The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Philadelphia's safety corps has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

With a meager 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Derius Davis stands as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in football.

Derius Davis has compiled a measly 3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Derius Davis rates in just the 4th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) with a subpar 1.8 mark this year.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.

More Derius Davis Player Props

Derius Davis TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Derius Davis Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14