My Account Log Out

reorder

Derek Carr

Derek Carr TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Derek Carr checks in as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a remarkable 69.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Derek Carr has been one of the best TD throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.60 per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football vs. the Panthers defense this year (75.7% Adjusted Completion%).

The Panthers defense has surrendered the most touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 2.12 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 2nd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.0% red zone pass rate.

In this week's contest, Derek Carr is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.2.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

More Derek Carr Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™