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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 4th-most run-focused team in football (44.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Saints.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a giant 8-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.8 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Derek Carr to total 1.4 rush attempts this week, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

Derek Carr has averaged just 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among quarterbacks (25th percentile).

More Derek Carr Player Props

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