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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.1 plays per game.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the league (137 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 7th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

In this game, Derek Carr is forecasted by the predictive model to earn the 4th-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.6.

Making up a mere 3.7% of his team's run game usage this year (19th percentile among quarterbacks), Derek Carr's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.

More Derek Carr Player Props

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