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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Derek Carr Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This year, the poor Giants defense has surrendered a massive 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the biggest rate in the league.
  • The Giants safeties grade out as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Derek Carr is projected by the predictive model to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.4.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

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