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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Derek Carr checks in as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a remarkable 69.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football vs. the Panthers defense this year (75.7% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Derek Carr is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.2.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

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