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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
  • The Carolina defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In this week's contest, Derek Carr is expected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 3rd-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.8.
  • Comprising just 4.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year (21st percentile among quarterbacks), Derek Carr's lack of mobility makes him no threat on the ground.

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