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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Derek Carr Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Derek Carr to total 1.5 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.

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