Deon Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Deon Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Deon Jackson

RB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Deon Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
Deon Jackson has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this year (24.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (1.3%).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.54 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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