My Account Log Out

reorder

Deon Jackson

Deon Jackson Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers

Deon Jackson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.

Deon Jackson has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this year (24.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (1.3%).

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends project as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

More Deon Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™