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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+640/-1200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Patriots are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and DeMario Douglas has garnered 1.5% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among wideouts).
  • DeMario Douglas's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 35.8.
  • DeMario Douglas's 75.2% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable regression in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.7% figure.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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