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Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.The Patriots are willing to include receivers in their run game, and DeMario Douglas has received 1.6% of red zone carries this year (0th among wide receivers).DeMario Douglas's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 35.8.DeMario Douglas's 75.4% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 78.7% rate.
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