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With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.While DeMario Douglas has accounted for 11.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much less involved in New England's offense near the goal line this week at 6.0%.DeMario Douglas's 22.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 35.8.
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