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The model projects the Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.
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