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Demario Douglas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-340).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -350 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -340.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

With an excellent rate of 0.30 per game through the air (80th percentile), DeMario Douglas places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Patriots are willing to include receivers in their run game, and DeMario Douglas has garnered 2.5% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to wide receivers).

DeMario Douglas's 26.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 35.8.

DeMario Douglas's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 78.7% to 67.2%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.7%) vs. wideouts this year (61.7%).

More Demario Douglas Player Props

Demario Douglas TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10