My Account Log Out
 
 
Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+176/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • DeMario Douglas's 37.5% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his passing attack usage over last year's 68.7% mark.
  • DeMario Douglas's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, notching just 1.6 adjusted receptions compared to 4.1 last season.
  • DeMario Douglas's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 78.7% to 72.4%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™