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With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.DeMario Douglas has gone out for fewer passes this year (40.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.7%).DeMario Douglas's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 4.1 rate.
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