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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Demario Douglas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Demario Douglas ranks as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers last year, averaging a terrific 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Demario Douglas profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a terrific 78.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 94th percentile among wideouts.

The Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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