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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (75.3%) vs. wideouts this year (75.3%).

This year, the weak Titans defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wideouts: a massive 9.53 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 51.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

In terms of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.93 seconds per play, the model projects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.

DeMario Douglas has run fewer routes this year (48.5% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.7%).

More Demario Douglas Player Props

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