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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

With a fantastic 4.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, DeMario Douglas stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL in space.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.

DeMario Douglas's 21.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 35.8.

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