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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The New England offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • DeMario Douglas's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates an impressive growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 7.6 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • DeMario Douglas's 37.5% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a meaningful drop-off in his passing attack usage over last year's 68.7% mark.
  • DeMario Douglas has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).
  • DeMario Douglas's 21.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a material regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 40.0 rate.

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