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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.
  • DeMario Douglas's receiving efficiency has gotten a boost this season, compiling 9.44 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.61 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Patriots to pass on 56.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.7 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (only 52.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.9 per game) this year.
  • DeMario Douglas has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (37.6% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (68.7%).

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