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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • DeMario Douglas's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable gain in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.6 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • DeMario Douglas's 36.7% Route% this year shows a material decrease in his passing offense utilization over last year's 68.7% rate.

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