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Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-116/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

DeMario Douglas's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 9.87 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.61 rate last year.

The New York Giants defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (162.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

This year, the weak New York Giants defense has been torched for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 8.62 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.

The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

DeMario Douglas has gone out for fewer passes this year (40.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.7%).

DeMario Douglas's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates an impressive reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 40.0 figure.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

Demario Douglas Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13