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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • DeMario Douglas's 9.3 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 7.6 figure.
  • This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up a monstrous 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • DeMario Douglas has been used less as a potential target this season (41.5% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (68.7%).
  • DeMario Douglas's 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 40.0 figure.
  • DeMario Douglas's 72.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last year's 78.7% figure.

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