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Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

DeMario Douglas's 9.1 adjusted yards per target this season marks a significant growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 7.6 rate.

This year, the deficient New York Jets defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a staggering 8.51 yards.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.

DeMario Douglas's 42.0% Route% this year conveys a noteable drop-off in his passing game usage over last year's 68.7% rate.

More Demario Douglas Player Props

Demario Douglas Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11