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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • DeMario Douglas has been used less as a potential target this year (43.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (68.7%).
  • DeMario Douglas has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
  • DeMario Douglas's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 78.7% to 67.2%.
  • DeMario Douglas's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a significant regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.3% figure.

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