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Demario Douglas

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Demario Douglas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Demario Douglas profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a terrific 78.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Demario Douglas has been one of the best wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 5.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 79th percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With a feeble 7.6 adjusted yards per target (21st percentile) last year, Demario Douglas ranks among the bottom WRs in the league in football.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 125.0) to wideouts last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wide receivers last year, allowing 7.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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